British Petroleum (NYSE:BP) (Part 2)

What happened this morning?

I woke late to find I’d missed a chance to buy NYSE:BP under $30/share. I almost went to work without making a purchase. But anxiety subsided and I bought in at $31.22. This holding is in addition to my investment club strengthening their position this morning at $29.78.

Why did I finally buy?

1. I spend too much of my life learning and planning and not enough doing. I’m more often guilty of over-analyzing than of being hasty. In this case, it was time to get into the game, and I’ll learn my lessons along with the emotional roller-coaster that is sure to follow.
2. I’m not a day trader. Having missed a $1 discount because of a day change should not affect my one-year returns significantly.
3. I’d made up my mind the night before and my morning apprehensions were emotionally fueled.

What’s the worst that can happen?

It’s possible BP is “playing nice” publicly while selling off and hiding as many assets as possible in expectation of an eventual bankruptcy. In this case, my money will have disappeared entirely. Assuming they don’t go bankrupt, I expect the be in the green and receiving dividends again by 2012.


(MarketWatch)

“BP continues to dominate the sector and the political arena, agreeing to set up a $20 billion escrow fund to pay claims in the largest oil spill in U.S. history. Shares remain volatile, falling and then rebounding. Steve Gelsi reports.”


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3 responses to “British Petroleum (NYSE:BP) (Part 2)”

  1. Jeff G Avatar
    Jeff G

    Great blog Geoff! I really enjoy the mental/physical health info and ideas. Investing in BP sounds like it might pay off, but I also try to think in ethical terms, are you supporting a company that may be responsible for one of the largest ecological disasters in history? I am interested in hearing your thoughts on the role of ethics when investing.

    Cheers,
    Jeff

  2. GeoffreyHale Avatar

    @Jeff G

    Thanks!

    Yeah, I'm hoping BP cleans up, recovers, and starts paying dividends again within the next couple years.

    It's absolutely important to consider ethics when investing. For example, I believe it's unethical to invest in an organization supporting genocide. But I don't believe investing in BP is unethical.

    BP dropped the ball, big time, but I don't believe they're necessarily less ethical than other oil companies. An important distinction is whether the incident was an accident or a result of negligence and if the latter, who is to blame? BP or a subcontractor or an individual?

    I don't believe in punishment for accidents. Reflection is punishment enough for a sober adult or honest company. Our goal should be to learn and prevent similar disasters in the future, not to punish an honest accident.

    I believe the most effective measures to prevent further disasters need to come from collaborations between government and company to communicate the ethical demands of a community, set regulations and guidelines for achieving those demands. I don't believe private investors limiting their investing would play an effective roll in preventing future disasters. In fact, if a long-standing successful company makes an honest mistake, I think it's in the best interest of the world to support them, get them back on their feet, and teach them how to more appropriately serve the world.

    Any thoughts?

    PS – Great to hear from you. Hope all is going well.

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